How a Trump impeachment could lead to a Pelosi presidency

  • 2019-10-31 09:15:15
House Democrats will press forward on Thursday with a House vote to officially greenlight impeachment proceedings into President Donald Trump's handling of aid to Ukraine while he was seeking an investigation of his political rival, Joe Biden. In defending his actions, Trump has suggested that reporters should look into Vice President Mike Pence's conversations with the Ukrainian president. And the White House has been evaluating whether to release notes of Pence's talks with President Volodymyr Zelensky. House Democrats will press forward on Thursday with a House vote to officially greenlight impeachment proceedings into President Donald Trump's handling of aid to Ukraine while he was seeking an investigation of his political rival, Joe Biden. In defending his actions, Trump has suggested that reporters should look into Vice President Mike Pence's conversations with the Ukrainian president. And the White House has been evaluating whether to release notes of Pence's talks with President Volodymyr Zelensky. It could put him right in the thick of the impeachment soup as a co-conspirator with the president. What might follow could be a double impeachment scenario that would make heads spin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi the president of the United States. After Pence, she's next in the line of succession. Pence has already admitted that he visited President Zelensky and raised concerns about corruption in Ukraine in the weeks after President Trump's controversial and alleged "quid pro quo" discussion with the newly elected Ukrainian leader. One of Pence's aides was on the call with the Ukrainian President. The specifics of that conversation have yet to be made public but will ultimately reveal whether Pence was actively involved in an attempt to improperly pressure the vulnerable Ukrainian leader. Some sources cited by CNN reporting claim that the Vice President's version of his conversation with the Zelensky is that it wasn't about Biden, but about corruption generally in Ukraine. Pence brought Trump assurances from Zelensky that the Ukrainian leader would take action against corruption. In this account, Pence then made the case to Trump that the United States should lift its hold on aid to Ukraine, which is what happened. If Trump and Pence were both implicated in the scandal and Pence's resignation or removal from office occurred first, Trump could nominate a new vice president under the 25th Amendment.The vice-presidential appointment, however, would have to be approved by a majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives to become effective. What are the chances that a Democratic majority in the House would approve any vice-presidential choice from Trump? Next to zero would be my bet -- especially given that the rejection of a Trump vice-presidential choice would elevate Pelosi to the presidency in the event of Trump's removal from office after an impeachment trial in the Senate. A Speaker's assumption of the presidency came perilously close to happening once before, when the Watergate scandal brought an end to the Nixon Administration in 1974. Nixon's vice president during the early stages of the Watergate investigation was Spiro Agnew, the former governor of Maryland. An investigation by the Justice Department revealed that as governor of Maryland, Agnew had engaged in various acts of political corruption, including bribe-taking that continued even after his assumption of the vice presidency. At first, Agnew contested the charges, even asserting the defense that a sitting vice president is immune from indictment. That defense -- which sounds suspiciously like the claim asserted by Trump lawyers before the federal Second Circuit Court of Appeals earlier this month that even if the President shot someone on Fifth Avenue, he would be immune from criminal prosecution -- was quickly abandoned by Agnew. In a negotiated deal in October of 1973, Agnew pled nolo contendere to a single felony count of income tax evasion and resigned from office. He received a slap-on-the-wrist sentence of probation and a fine. While both Agnew and Nixon were under the cloud of possible criminal indictment and impeachment, Speaker of the House Carl Albert, a Democrat, asked former John F. Kennedy speech writer Ted Sorensen to prepare a "contingency plan" outlining the circumstances under which Albert would have to assume the presidency under the 25th Amendment.CNN

Related